Australia NPL 2026 — 295,000 NOSC Allocations & MD115 Explained | G2H

OFFICIAL GOVERNMENT GUIDE · UPDATED 22 APRIL 2026

Australia 2026 NPL & NOSC Allocations — 295,000 Places, MD115 & What It Means for International Students

The official Australian Government 2026 plan: a National Planning Level of 295,000 New Overseas Student Commencements, three priority tiers under Ministerial Direction 115, and important new exemptions for students moving from Australian schools, TAFE and pathway providers into public universities.

By Abin Mathew Varghese · QEAC #10439 · British Council #49805 · 12 min read

QEAC Certified #10439
British Council #49805
3 Global Offices
1000+ Students Guided
Free Counselling
2026 NPL
295,000
+25,000 vs 2025 (was 270,000)
Effective Date
14 Nov 2025
MD115 replaced MD111
Priority Tiers
3 Levels
P1 / P2 / P3 by NOSC %
P2 Threshold
80% NOSC
P3 kicks in at 115%
Last updated: 22 April 2026
AV
Abin Mathew Varghese Founder & Director, Guide to Heights · QEAC Certified Counsellor #10439 · MBA Deakin Melbourne

In 2026 the Australian Government continues to manage international education growth through a system built around two terms every applicant should now know: the National Planning Level (NPL) and New Overseas Student Commencements (NOSCs). The 2026 NPL is set at 295,000 places, an increase of 25,000 over 2025, and is delivered through provider-by-provider indicative allocations supported by Ministerial Direction 115 (MD115), in force since 14 November 2025.

This guide is built entirely from official Australian Government sources — Study Australia, the Department of Education and the Department of Home Affairs. No third-party speculation, no agent commentary.

1. What is the National Planning Level (NPL)?

The National Planning Level is the Australian Government's annual target for new international student commencements across higher education and vocational education and training providers. It was introduced as part of the post-COVID international education reforms and is announced by joint media release of the Ministers for Education, Home Affairs, Immigration & Citizenship, and Skills & Training.

For 2026, the NPL was announced on 4 August 2025 and set at 295,000 places — a 25,000 increase over the 2025 figure of 270,000, but still approximately 8% below the post-COVID peak. Source: Study Australia — Increased student intake for Australia in 2026.

Important: Per Study Australia, "Australia's National Planning Level (NPL) is not a cap or a limit on student numbers. It is a prioritisation system for Student visa applications. Any genuine student who meets the Student visa requirements can still apply." The NPL only applies to offshore student visa applications (lodged outside Australia).

2. What is a New Overseas Student Commencement (NOSC)?

A NOSC is a single new international student commencement at one Australian education provider. The Department of Education issues each provider an indicative allocation — the number of NOSCs that provider can accept in priority processing for the calendar year. These allocations sum to the National Planning Level.

Critically, NOSCs are tracked by provider, not nationally. So when people say "the cap is full," what's actually happening is that some specific providers have reached their allocation thresholds while others remain well below theirs — and the priority of your visa depends on which provider you are enrolling with.

3. Ministerial Direction 115 — the Rule That Powers It

Ministerial Direction 115 (MD115) is the legal instrument that tells the Department of Home Affairs how to prioritise offshore Student visa (subclass 500) applications. It was signed under section 499 of the Migration Act 1958 and came into effect on 14 November 2025, replacing the previous MD111.

You can read MD115 in full on the Department of Home Affairs website: Ministerial Direction 115 (PDF).

"A Ministerial Direction is not a visa cap, and it does not set the criteria to approve or refuse a student visa application." — Department of Home Affairs — Student visa processing priorities

Key differences from the previous MD111

  • MD111 had two priority tiers (Priority 1 and Priority 2). MD115 introduces a third tier (Priority 3) for providers exceeding 115% of their allocation.
  • MD115 allocations are based on the calendar year in which the application is lodged. Applications lodged between 15 November and 31 December each year are prioritised against the following year's allocation.
  • Under MD115, no active international education provider receives a 2026 allocation lower than their 2025 allocation.

4. The Three Priority Tiers Under MD115

Per the Department of Home Affairs, applications for higher education and VET providers are placed in one of three tiers based on the provider's progress against its NOSC allocation at the time the application is lodged.

● Priority 1

Fast Lane

Provider is below 80% of its 2026 NOSC allocation

Target: 1 to 4 weeks to commence processing

● Priority 2

Standard Lane

Provider has reached 80% of its allocation (the prioritisation threshold)

Target: 5 to 8 weeks to commence processing

● Priority 3

Slow Lane

Provider has exceeded 115% of its allocation (the upper threshold)

Target: 9 to 12 weeks to commence processing

Your priority level is locked at lodgement. Per the Department of Home Affairs, the priority level "is determined at the time you lodge your visa and does not change whether we will grant or refuse your visa." If your provider crosses the 80% threshold the day after you lodge, you remain on Priority 1.

5. Indicative Processing Times

The Department of Home Affairs publishes indicative processing windows, noting that "these periods are based on 2025 lodgements and processing resources and can change, particularly when lodgements increase, and in peak periods." Always check the live global visa processing time guide before planning your application timeline.

Priority LevelThresholdTarget Processing Window
Priority 1Below 80% NOSC1–4 weeks
Priority 280%–115% of NOSC5–8 weeks
Priority 3Over 115% of NOSC9–12 weeks

6. Cohorts That Are Always Priority 1 (Regardless of NOSC Status)

Per MD115, the following student categories receive Priority 1 processing automatically — they are not affected by their provider's NOSC threshold:

  • School students
  • Non-award sector students, including short-term exchange students
  • Standalone ELICOS students
  • Students enrolled with a TAFE provider (and specifically identified TAFE courses for Charles Darwin University)
  • Students enrolled in a recognised Pilot training course (Diploma of Aviation — Commercial Pilot Licence Aeroplane / Helicopter / Instrument Rating / Flight Instructor)
  • Students enrolled in Postgraduate research (PhD) courses
  • Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT) sponsored students
  • Department of Defence sponsored students
  • Foreign and Australian government scholarship students
  • Students from the Pacific and Timor-Leste (passport holders / residents of Cook Islands, Fiji, French Polynesia, Kiribati, Marshall Islands, Micronesia, Nauru, New Caledonia, Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Timor-Leste, Tonga, Tuvalu, Vanuatu)
  • Transnational education students
  • Subsequent entrants where the application includes a minor (a child under 18)

Source: Department of Home Affairs — Student visa processing priorities.

7. Students Exempt From the NPL Count (New for 2026)

From 2026, certain student transitions do not count toward a public university's NOSC allocation. This is one of the most consequential changes in the 2026 plan.

Per the joint Ministerial announcement and confirmed by Study Australia, students moving into a publicly funded (Table A) university from any of these onshore pathways are exempt from the NPL count:

  • Australian secondary schools (after completing Year 12 in Australia)
  • Recognised pathway providers (university-affiliated foundation and diploma colleges)
  • TAFE institutes

This exemption was designed to protect natural educational progression for students already in Australia and to reward providers who run pathway-to-university programs.

8. 2026 Indicative Allocations — Major Table A Universities

"Table A" universities are the publicly funded Australian universities listed in Table A of the Higher Education Support Act 2003. They receive direct Commonwealth support and, collectively, the largest share of the NPL. Below is an extract from the official Department of Education 2026 indicative allocations factsheet (PDF).

UniversityCRICOS Code2026 NOSC Allocation
The University of Sydney00026A11,900
Monash University00008C11,300
The University of Melbourne00116K10,500
The University of New South Wales (UNSW)00098G10,350
The University of Queensland00025B8,850
Deakin University00113B6,550
Curtin University00301J4,100
Western Sydney University00917K4,000
Griffith University00233E3,950
Murdoch University00125J3,900

"All currently active education providers will retain at least their 2025 allocation, with some able to apply for additional places. Public universities, in particular, may seek growth in 2026 if they can demonstrate progress on key government priorities, such as expanding engagement with Southeast Asia and increasing student accommodation options." — Education Minister Jason Clare, 4 August 2025

Per the official announcement, public universities can apply for an increase of up to 9% above their base allocation by demonstrating progress on the two government priorities; private providers can apply for up to 3%.

9. How to Check Your Provider's Live Status

The Department of Education publishes a weekly-updated dashboard showing each higher education provider's current visa prioritisation status. This is the single most important tool for any student or counsellor planning a 2026 visa lodgement.

Education providers themselves can view their allocations and lodgement counts in PRISMS (Provider Registration and International Student Management System).

10. What This Means for International Students Applying for 2026

  • Lodge early. The earlier in the calendar year you lodge, the more likely your provider is still under 80% NOSC and you secure Priority 1 processing.
  • Watch the dashboard. Before you lodge, check the Visa Prioritisation Status dashboard and time your application accordingly.
  • Consider regional and mid-tier universities. Top-tier metropolitan providers fill their thresholds faster. Many high-quality regional universities and Group of Eight alternatives remain well below threshold throughout the year, giving you faster processing.
  • If you completed Year 12 in Australia, are at a TAFE, or are at a recognised pathway provider, your move into a public university is exempt from NPL counting — no NOSC pressure on your application.
  • For packaged courses, the priority is set by the main CoE (usually the final course in the package), measured against that provider's allocation in the year you lodge the visa.
  • Genuine Student requirement remains paramount. Per the Assistant Minister for International Education in November 2025, "student-visa lodgements are down 26 per cent and commencements down 16 per cent" — meaning there is room within the NPL, but the integrity bar is high. A complete, well-evidenced GS statement is essential.

11. What's Coming in 2027 — ATEC

Subject to the passage of legislation currently before Parliament, the Australian Tertiary Education Commission (ATEC) will from 2027 take over oversight of managed growth for higher education. ATEC is intended to add another layer of stability, transparency and long-term planning to the international education sector. Year-by-year NPL announcements will continue in the meantime.

12. FAQs — 10 Questions Answered

DIRECT, GOVERNMENT-SOURCED ANSWERS

1. What is the National Planning Level (NPL) for international students in Australia in 2026?

The 2026 National Planning Level is 295,000 New Overseas Student Commencements. This is 25,000 places higher than the 2025 NPL of 270,000 and was announced by joint Ministerial media release on 4 August 2025. Source: Study Australia.

2. Is the NPL a cap on the number of student visas?

No. Per Study Australia, the NPL is "not a cap or a limit on student numbers. It is a prioritisation system for Student visa applications." Any genuine student meeting the visa requirements can still apply. The NPL only affects how quickly your offshore application is processed, based on your provider's status.

3. What is Ministerial Direction 115 (MD115)?

MD115 is the legal instrument issued under section 499 of the Migration Act 1958 that tells the Department of Home Affairs how to prioritise offshore subclass 500 Student visa applications. It came into effect on 14 November 2025, replacing the previous MD111. The full text is published at immi.homeaffairs.gov.au.

4. What are the three priority tiers under MD115?

Priority 1 applies to applications with providers below 80% of their NOSC allocation, with target processing of 1–4 weeks. Priority 2 applies once a provider hits the 80% prioritisation threshold (target 5–8 weeks). Priority 3 applies once a provider exceeds 115% of its allocation, the upper threshold (target 9–12 weeks).

5. Which student categories always receive Priority 1 processing?

Per MD115, school students, non-award students, standalone ELICOS students, TAFE students, recognised Pilot training students, PhD candidates, DFAT and Defence sponsored students, foreign and Australian government scholarship holders, students from the Pacific and Timor-Leste, transnational education students, and subsequent entrants whose application includes a minor child are all always Priority 1.

6. Are any students exempt from the NPL count in 2026?

Yes. From 2026, students transitioning into publicly funded (Table A) universities from Australian secondary schools, recognised pathway providers, or TAFE institutes are exempt from the NPL count. This change protects educational progression for students already in Australia.

7. Does the NPL apply to onshore student visa applications?

No. Both Study Australia and the Department of Home Affairs confirm that the NPL system applies only to offshore Student visa applications — those lodged from outside Australia. Onshore applications (lodged from within Australia) are processed in lodgement order, not by NOSC priority.

8. How can I check my chosen university's current NOSC status?

The Department of Education publishes a weekly-updated dashboard showing each higher education provider's current visa prioritisation status at Visa Prioritisation Status. VET students should ask their provider directly.

9. What are the 2026 indicative allocations for top Australian universities?

Per the official Department of Education factsheet, top allocations include the University of Sydney (11,900), Monash University (11,300), the University of Melbourne (10,500), UNSW (10,350), the University of Queensland (8,850), Deakin University (6,550), Curtin (4,100), Western Sydney (4,000), Griffith (3,950) and Murdoch (3,900). Full list in the official PDF.

10. What happens after 2026 — is there a long-term framework?

Subject to legislation, from 2027 the Australian Tertiary Education Commission (ATEC) will take over oversight of managed growth for higher education. Year-by-year NPL announcements continue in the interim. The intent is to give universities and students greater long-term planning certainty.

Official Government Sources Referenced

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Abin Mathew Varghese

Founder & Director of Guide to Heights. Holds an MBA and Master's in IT from Deakin University, Melbourne. Has personally guided over 1000 students from Kerala and the GCC to universities in Australia, the UK, New Zealand, Ireland and Germany. Tracks Australian Government international education policy in real time and advises students, schools and universities on subclass 500 visa strategy.

QEAC Certified Counsellor #10439 (PIER) British Council Certified #49805 UAE License SC241129101 CIN U80301KL2022PTC078017
Guide to Heights

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